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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kitakyushu v Parceiro Nagano: numbers & prediction

J3 League · Japan · Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu
3–1
FT
Kitakyushu 44%Draw 22%Parceiro Nagano 35% Expected goals 1.54 – 1.34
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultKitakyushu to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20

Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 25 October the J3 League brings Kitakyushu against Parceiro Nagano at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Kitakyushu are 13th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Parceiro Nagano are 10th (upper half) with 23.

Current form

Kitakyushu, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fukushima United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Parceiro Nagano, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Ryukyu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kitakyushu 1.5 xG, Parceiro Nagano 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kitakyushu 44%, draw 22%, Parceiro Nagano 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kitakyushu 1–1 Parceiro Nagano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kitakyushu44%fair 2.29 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.20
Parceiro Nagano35%fair 2.89 · @2.90
2.88Expected goals
1.54Kitakyushu xG
1.34Parceiro Nagano xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Kitakyushu 1.5 – 1.3 Parceiro Nagano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKitakyushu to win ✓44%2.292.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.62
Draw no betKitakyushu (draw no bet) ✓56%1.79–
Asian handicapParceiro Nagano +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreKitakyushu to score first ✓51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kitakyushu / FT Kitakyushu ✓25%4.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.20–

Recent results

Kitakyushu – last 6

LWLWLD
21 Oct@ Fukushima United1–2L
17 Octvs Osaka3–1W
10 Oct@ Nara Club0–2L
3 Octvs Kochi United2–0W
29 Sepvs Nagoya Grampus1–3L
26 Sepvs Kagoshima United1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Parceiro Nagano – last 6

LWWLLW
21 Octvs FC Ryukyu0–1L
18 Octvs Matsumoto Yamaga2–1W
10 Oct@ Kochi United3–1W
3 Octvs Nara Club0–1L
26 Sep@ Fukushima United3–4L
20 Sepvs FC Gifu1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kitakyushu and Parceiro Nagano.

Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano head-to-head page →

J3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nara Club161024+1232
2FC Gifu161015+1431
3Sagamihara16943+1131
4Kagoshima United16943+1031
5Renofa Yamaguchi16934+930
6Osaka16853+1129
7Ehime FC16925+629
8Roasso Kumamoto16664+624
9Kanazawa16727+723
10Parceiro Nagano16727+123
11FC Ryukyu16727023
12Tochigi SC16565-121
13Kitakyushu16547-319
14Fukushima United16538-218
15Matsumoto Yamaga16457-317
16Biwako Shiga16529-917
17Gainare Tottori16439-1515
18Kamatamare Sanuki164210-1014
19Thespakusatsu Gunma164111-1813
20Kochi United162311-269

More J3 League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano?

On our numbers Kitakyushu have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Parceiro Nagano 35%.

How many goals will there be in Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano?

Our predicted score is Kitakyushu 1–1 Parceiro Nagano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano?

Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano (J3 League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.