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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fukushima United v Matsumoto Yamaga: numbers & prediction

J3 League · Japan · Toho
Fukushima United 37%Draw 21%Matsumoto Yamaga 41% Expected goals 1.53 – 1.62
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.60

Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Matsumoto Yamaga travel to face Fukushima United on Saturday 31 October in the J3 League, with Toho the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Fukushima United are 14th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Matsumoto Yamaga are 15th (lower half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Fukushima United, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Ehime FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Renofa Yamaguchi, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Fukushima United 1–3 Matsumoto Yamaga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fukushima United 1.5 xG, Matsumoto Yamaga 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fukushima United 37%, draw 21%, Matsumoto Yamaga 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fukushima United 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fukushima United37%fair 2.69 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.30
Matsumoto Yamaga41%fair 2.42 · @2.10
3.15Expected goals
1.53Fukushima United xG
1.62Matsumoto Yamaga xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–07%

From our goals model: Fukushima United 1.5 – 1.6 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✓41%2.422.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.551.44
Draw no betMatsumoto Yamaga (draw no bet) ✓53%1.90–
Asian handicapFukushima United +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreMatsumoto Yamaga to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✓24%4.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.60–

Recent results

Fukushima United – last 6

WWLDLL
25 Oct@ Ehime FC4–2W
21 Octvs Kitakyushu2–1W
17 Oct@ FC Gifu0–1L
10 Octvs Biwako Shiga2–2D
4 Oct@ Kagoshima United2–3L
29 Sepvs Mito Hollyhock0–7L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6

LWLLWL
25 Octvs Renofa Yamaguchi0–2L
21 Octvs Thespakusatsu Gunma2–0W
18 Oct@ Parceiro Nagano1–2L
14 Octvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–1L
11 Octvs Kagoshima United1–0W
3 Octvs Gainare Tottori0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Fukushima United v Matsumoto Yamaga1–3
Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga head-to-head page →

J3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nara Club161024+1232
2FC Gifu161015+1431
3Sagamihara16943+1131
4Kagoshima United16943+1031
5Renofa Yamaguchi16934+930
6Osaka16853+1129
7Ehime FC16925+629
8Roasso Kumamoto16664+624
9Kanazawa16727+723
10Parceiro Nagano16727+123
11FC Ryukyu16727023
12Tochigi SC16565-121
13Kitakyushu16547-319
14Fukushima United16538-218
15Matsumoto Yamaga16457-317
16Biwako Shiga16529-917
17Gainare Tottori16439-1515
18Kamatamare Sanuki164210-1014
19Thespakusatsu Gunma164111-1813
20Kochi United162311-269

More J3 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

On our numbers Fukushima United have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Matsumoto Yamaga 41%.

How many goals will there be in Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Our predicted score is Fukushima United 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Toho.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.