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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Renofa Yamaguchi v Kitakyushu: numbers & prediction

J3 League · Japan · Ishin Me-Life Stadium
0–2
FT
Renofa Yamaguchi 66%Draw 21%Kitakyushu 12% Expected goals 1.94 – 0.71
66%
Betarazi pick

Renofa Yamaguchi to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultRenofa Yamaguchi to win ✗66% · @1.53
Double chanceRenofa Yamaguchi or draw ✗88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kitakyushu travel to face Renofa Yamaguchi on Saturday 31 October in the J3 League, with Ishin Me-Life Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 07:05 WAT. In the table, Renofa Yamaguchi are 5th, upper half, on 30 points after 16 matches; Kitakyushu are 13th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Renofa Yamaguchi, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Matsumoto Yamaga, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Kitakyushu, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Parceiro Nagano, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Renofa Yamaguchi, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Kitakyushu.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Renofa Yamaguchi 0–1 Kitakyushu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Renofa Yamaguchi 1.9 xG, Kitakyushu 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Renofa Yamaguchi 66%, draw 21%, Kitakyushu 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Renofa Yamaguchi to win (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Renofa Yamaguchi 1–0 Kitakyushu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Renofa Yamaguchi66%fair 1.51 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.60
Kitakyushu12%fair 8.09 · @5.00
2.65Expected goals
1.94Renofa Yamaguchi xG
0.71Kitakyushu xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: Renofa Yamaguchi 1.9 – 0.7 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRenofa Yamaguchi to win ✗66%1.511.53
Double chanceRenofa Yamaguchi or draw ✗88%1.141.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.741.65
Draw no betRenofa Yamaguchi (draw no bet) ✗84%1.19–
Asian handicapRenofa Yamaguchi -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.98–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreRenofa Yamaguchi to score first ✗68%1.47–
Half-time resultRenofa Yamaguchi ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Renofa Yamaguchi / FT Renofa Yamaguchi ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.60–

Recent results

Renofa Yamaguchi – last 6

WLWWWD
25 Oct@ Matsumoto Yamaga2–0W
21 Oct@ Ehime FC1–2L
18 Octvs Kochi United2–0W
11 Oct@ Tochigi SC1–0W
3 Oct@ FC Gifu2–0W
26 Sepvs Sagamihara2–2D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kitakyushu – last 6

WLWLWL
25 Octvs Parceiro Nagano3–1W
21 Oct@ Fukushima United1–2L
17 Octvs Osaka3–1W
10 Oct@ Nara Club0–2L
3 Octvs Kochi United2–0W
29 Sepvs Nagoya Grampus1–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Renofa Yamaguchi v Kitakyushu0–1
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu head-to-head page →

J3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nara Club161024+1232
2FC Gifu161015+1431
3Sagamihara16943+1131
4Kagoshima United16943+1031
5Renofa Yamaguchi16934+930
6Osaka16853+1129
7Ehime FC16925+629
8Roasso Kumamoto16664+624
9Kanazawa16727+723
10Parceiro Nagano16727+123
11FC Ryukyu16727023
12Tochigi SC16565-121
13Kitakyushu16547-319
14Fukushima United16538-218
15Matsumoto Yamaga16457-317
16Biwako Shiga16529-917
17Gainare Tottori16439-1515
18Kamatamare Sanuki164210-1014
19Thespakusatsu Gunma164111-1813
20Kochi United162311-269

More J3 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu?

Our pick is Renofa Yamaguchi to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu?

On our numbers Renofa Yamaguchi have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kitakyushu 12%.

How many goals will there be in Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu?

Our predicted score is Renofa Yamaguchi 1–0 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu?

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 07:05 (West Africa Time) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.