Value bet: Matsumoto Yamaga to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceMatsumoto Yamaga or draw ✗83% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
06:00 WAT, Tuesday 3 November: Kamatamare Sanuki v Matsumoto Yamaga in the J3 League, played at Pikara. In the table, Kamatamare Sanuki are 18th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Matsumoto Yamaga are 15th (lower half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kamatamare Sanuki, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Nara Club, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Fukushima United, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Matsumoto Yamaga, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Kamatamare Sanuki.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kamatamare Sanuki 0.8 xG, Matsumoto Yamaga 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kamatamare Sanuki 17%, draw 22%, Matsumoto Yamaga 62%.
Lower-risk option: Matsumoto Yamaga or draw (83%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.63.
Price worth noting: Matsumoto Yamaga to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kamatamare Sanuki 0–1 Matsumoto Yamaga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kamatamare Sanuki17%fair 6.03 · @3.80
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.55
Matsumoto Yamaga62%fair 1.62 · @1.73
2.72Expected goals
0.85Kamatamare Sanuki xG
1.87Matsumoto Yamaga xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kamatamare Sanuki 0.8 – 1.9 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Matsumoto Yamaga to win✗
62%
1.62
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Matsumoto Yamaga or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.63
Draw no bet
Matsumoto Yamaga (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Matsumoto Yamaga -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.10
First team to score
Matsumoto Yamaga to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Matsumoto Yamaga ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Kamatamare Sanuki – last 6
LLWLLD
31 Oct
vs Nara Club
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–1
L
21 Oct
vs Kanazawa
3–1
W
18 Oct
vs Roasso Kumamoto
0–3
L
9 Oct
@ Sagamihara
2–3
L
4 Oct
vs Tochigi SC
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6
WLWLLW
31 Oct
@ Fukushima United
3–1
W
25 Oct
vs Renofa Yamaguchi
0–2
L
21 Oct
vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
2–0
W
18 Oct
@ Parceiro Nagano
1–2
L
14 Oct
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Kagoshima United
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kamatamare Sanuki and Matsumoto Yamaga.
What is the prediction for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
On our numbers Kamatamare Sanuki have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Matsumoto Yamaga 62%.
How many goals will there be in Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our predicted score is Kamatamare Sanuki 0–1 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J3 League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Pikara.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
