Value bet: Renofa Yamaguchi to win @ 2.91 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKagoshima United to win ✗41% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.81
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
06:00 WAT, Tuesday 3 November: Renofa Yamaguchi v Kagoshima United in the J3 League, played at Ishin Me-Life Stadium. In the table, Renofa Yamaguchi are 5th, upper half, on 30 points after 16 matches; Kagoshima United are 4th (among the top four) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Renofa Yamaguchi, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kitakyushu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Kagoshima United, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Roasso Kumamoto, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Renofa Yamaguchi, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Kagoshima United.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Aug 2026) it ended Kagoshima United 2–1 Renofa Yamaguchi. The last 3 head-to-heads: Renofa Yamaguchi 1 win, Kagoshima United 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Renofa Yamaguchi 1.3 xG, Kagoshima United 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Renofa Yamaguchi 37%, draw 23%, Kagoshima United 41%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.69.
Price worth noting: Renofa Yamaguchi to win @2.91 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Renofa Yamaguchi 1–1 Kagoshima United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Renofa Yamaguchi37%fair 2.71 · @2.91
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.18
Kagoshima United41%fair 2.46 · @2.16
2.66Expected goals
1.29Renofa Yamaguchi xG
1.37Kagoshima United xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Renofa Yamaguchi 1.3 – 1.4 Kagoshima United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United?
On our numbers Renofa Yamaguchi have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kagoshima United 41%.
How many goals will there be in Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United?
Our predicted score is Renofa Yamaguchi 1–1 Kagoshima United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United?
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United (J3 League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
