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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cerezo Osaka v JEF United Chiba: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Yanmar Hanasaka Stadium
2–2
FT
Cerezo Osaka 60%Draw 20%JEF United Chiba 20% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.89
60%
Betarazi pick

Cerezo Osaka to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✗60% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cerezo Osaka welcome JEF United Chiba to Yanmar Hanasaka Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Sunday 25 October (07:00 WAT). In the table, Cerezo Osaka are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; JEF United Chiba are 10th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Cerezo Osaka, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Nagoya Grampus, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

JEF United Chiba, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Urawa, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Cerezo Osaka, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for JEF United Chiba.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cerezo Osaka 1.8 xG, JEF United Chiba 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cerezo Osaka 60%, draw 20%, JEF United Chiba 20%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Cerezo Osaka to win (60%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerezo Osaka 1–0 JEF United Chiba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cerezo Osaka60%fair 1.67 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.70
JEF United Chiba20%fair 5.00 · @4.33
2.68Expected goals
1.79Cerezo Osaka xG
0.89JEF United Chiba xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 1.8 – 0.9 JEF United Chiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCerezo Osaka to win ✗60%1.671.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.70
Draw no betCerezo Osaka (draw no bet)75%1.33–
Asian handicapJEF United Chiba +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.99–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreCerezo Osaka to score first ✗62%1.61–
Half-time resultCerezo Osaka ahead at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka ✗36%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.23–

Recent results

Cerezo Osaka – last 6

DLWDWW
21 Oct@ Nagoya Grampus1–1D
17 Octvs Kawasaki Frontale2–4L
14 Oct@ Gainare Tottori3–2W
10 Octvs Yokohama F. Marinos0–0D
7 Octvs Kagoshima United2–0W
29 Sep@ Fujieda MYFC2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

JEF United Chiba – last 6

LDDLLL
21 Oct@ Urawa2–3L
17 Octvs Yokohama F. Marinos0–0D
11 Octvs V-varen Nagasaki1–1D
7 Oct@ Fagiano Okayama0–1L
29 Sep@ Jubilo Iwata2–4L
19 Sep@ Shimizu S-pulse1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cerezo Osaka and JEF United Chiba.

Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba?

Our pick is Cerezo Osaka to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba?

On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and JEF United Chiba 20%.

How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba?

Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 1–0 JEF United Chiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba?

Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Hanasaka Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.