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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Tokyo v Mito Hollyhock: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Ajinomoto Stadium
6–0
FT
FC Tokyo 65%Draw 21%Mito Hollyhock 14% Expected goals 1.87 – 0.72
65%
Betarazi pick

FC Tokyo to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Tokyo to win ✓65% · @1.30
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✓86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.59

FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mito Hollyhock travel to face FC Tokyo on Sunday 25 October in the J1 League, with Ajinomoto Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 08:00 WAT. In the table, FC Tokyo are 2nd, among the top four, on 37 points after 18 matches; Mito Hollyhock are 9th (in the drop zone) with 18. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FC Tokyo, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kashiwa Reysol, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Mito Hollyhock, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fagiano Okayama, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Tokyo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Mito Hollyhock.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Oct 2026) it ended Mito Hollyhock 1–0 FC Tokyo. The last 2 head-to-heads: FC Tokyo 1 win, Mito Hollyhock 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Tokyo 1.9 xG, Mito Hollyhock 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tokyo 65%, draw 21%, Mito Hollyhock 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Tokyo to win (65%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tokyo 1–0 Mito Hollyhock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Tokyo65%fair 1.53 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @4.80
Mito Hollyhock14%fair 7.05 · @8.50
2.59Expected goals
1.87FC Tokyo xG
0.72Mito Hollyhock xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: FC Tokyo 1.9 – 0.7 Mito Hollyhock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Tokyo to win ✓65%1.531.30
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✓86%1.171.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.922.05 ▲
Draw no betFC Tokyo (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapFC Tokyo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.92–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
First team to scoreFC Tokyo to score first ✓67%1.50–
Half-time resultFC Tokyo ahead at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo ✓41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.59–

Recent results

FC Tokyo – last 6

DWLWWW
21 Octvs Kashiwa Reysol0–0D
17 Oct@ Tokyo Verdy4–0W
14 Oct@ Mito Hollyhock0–1L
10 Octvs Urawa3–0W
7 Octvs Shonan Bellmare4–0W
29 Sep@ Ehime FC2–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Mito Hollyhock – last 6

LLWLWL
21 Oct@ Fagiano Okayama0–2L
17 Octvs Urawa0–1L
14 Octvs FC Tokyo1–0W
11 Octvs Shimizu S-pulse1–2L
29 Sep@ Fukushima United7–0W
19 Sep@ Yokohama F. Marinos0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Oct 2026Mito Hollyhock v FC Tokyo1–0
24 Apr 2026FC Tokyo v Mito Hollyhock5–2
FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?

Our pick is FC Tokyo to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?

On our numbers FC Tokyo have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mito Hollyhock 14%.

How many goals will there be in FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?

Our predicted score is FC Tokyo 1–0 Mito Hollyhock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?

FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.