Value bet: V-varen Nagasaki to win @ 3.12 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAvispa Fukuoka to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
V-varen Nagasaki travel to face Avispa Fukuoka on Saturday 7 November in the J1 League, with Best Denki Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 07:00 WAT. In the table, Avispa Fukuoka are 10th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 18 matches; V-varen Nagasaki are 9th (in the drop zone) with 21. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Avispa Fukuoka, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to JEF United Chiba, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
V-varen Nagasaki, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tokyo Verdy, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Apr 2026) it ended Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 V-varen Nagasaki. The last 2 head-to-heads: Avispa Fukuoka 1 win, V-varen Nagasaki 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avispa Fukuoka 1.4 xG, V-varen Nagasaki 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avispa Fukuoka 43%, draw 23%, V-varen Nagasaki 34%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.84.
Price worth noting: V-varen Nagasaki to win @3.12 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avispa Fukuoka43%fair 2.34 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.22
V-varen Nagasaki34%fair 2.91 · @3.12
2.64Expected goals
1.41Avispa Fukuoka xG
1.23V-varen Nagasaki xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Avispa Fukuoka 1.4 – 1.2 V-varen Nagasaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki?
On our numbers Avispa Fukuoka have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and V-varen Nagasaki 34%.
How many goals will there be in Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our predicted score is Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tokyo Verdy1
Yokohama F. Marinos1
FC Tokyo2
Kashima0
Kashiwa Reysol2
Kawasaki Frontale1