Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.94 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShimizu S-pulse to win ✗39% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.59
Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tokyo Verdy travel to face Shimizu S-pulse on Saturday 7 November in the J1 League, with IAI Stadium Nihondaira the venue – the ball rolls at 05:00 WAT. In the table, Shimizu S-pulse are 7th, lower half, on 24 points after 18 matches; Tokyo Verdy are 5th (upper half) with 28.
Current form
Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kyoto Sanga, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Tokyo Verdy, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over V-varen Nagasaki, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tokyo Verdy, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Shimizu S-pulse.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shimizu S-pulse 1.2 xG, Tokyo Verdy 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shimizu S-pulse 39%, draw 23%, Tokyo Verdy 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.94.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Tokyo Verdy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shimizu S-pulse39%fair 2.55 · @2.44
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.10
Tokyo Verdy37%fair 2.67 · @2.92
2.39Expected goals
1.21Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.18Tokyo Verdy xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.2 – 1.2 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shimizu S-pulse to win✗
39%
2.55
2.44
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.94 ▲
Draw no bet
Shimizu S-pulse (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Tokyo Verdy +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.56
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Shimizu S-pulse to score first✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shimizu S-pulse / FT Shimizu S-pulse✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.59
–
Recent results
Shimizu S-pulse – last 6
LLLDLW
31 Oct
@ Kyoto Sanga
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–4
L
21 Oct
vs Machida Zelvia
0–5
L
17 Oct
vs Gamba Osaka
2–2
D
14 Oct
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Mito Hollyhock
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy – last 6
WWDLLD
1 Nov
@ V-varen Nagasaki
2–1
W
24 Oct
vs Avispa Fukuoka
3–1
W
21 Oct
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs FC Tokyo
0–4
L
11 Oct
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–2
L
7 Oct
@ Gainare Tottori
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and Tokyo Verdy.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tokyo Verdy 37%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nagoya Grampus0
Kyoto Sanga2
Fagiano Okayama1
Avispa Fukuoka1
V-varen Nagasaki1