Hegelmann II 22%Draw 18%Tauras 60%Expected goals 1.14 – 2.06
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Tauras to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTauras to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Hegelmann II vs Tauras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Friday 16 October: Hegelmann II v Tauras in the 1 Lyga. In the table, Hegelmann II are 14th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 30 matches; Tauras are 5th (upper half) with 51. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hegelmann II, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Neptūną Klaipėda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Tauras, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Jonava, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Tauras 6–1 Hegelmann II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hegelmann II 1.1 xG, Tauras 2.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hegelmann II 22%, draw 18%, Tauras 60%.
Price worth noting: Tauras to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hegelmann II 1–2 Tauras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hegelmann II22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @4.00
Tauras60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
3.19Expected goals
1.14Hegelmann II xG
2.06Tauras xG
52%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Hegelmann II 1.1 – 2.1 Tauras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hegelmann II vs Tauras?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Hegelmann II vs Tauras?
On our numbers Hegelmann II have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tauras 60%.
How many goals will there be in Hegelmann II vs Tauras?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hegelmann II vs Tauras?
Our predicted score is Hegelmann II 1–2 Tauras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Hegelmann II vs Tauras?
Hegelmann II vs Tauras (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
