Value bet: BFA to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBFA to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Jonava vs BFA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 16 October the 1 Lyga brings Jonava against BFA. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Jonava are 10th, lower half, on 32 points after 30 matches; BFA are 6th (upper half) with 50. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Jonava, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Babrungas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
BFA, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Žalgiris II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours BFA, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Jonava.
Head to head
When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended BFA 1–0 Jonava.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jonava 1.3 xG, BFA 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jonava 36%, draw 20%, BFA 44%.
Price worth noting: BFA to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jonava 1–2 BFA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jonava36%fair 2.77 · @2.25
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.75
BFA44%fair 2.26 · @2.50
2.74Expected goals
1.28Jonava xG
1.46BFA xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Jonava 1.3 – 1.5 BFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Jonava vs BFA?
On our numbers Jonava have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 20% and BFA 44%.
How many goals will there be in Jonava vs BFA?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jonava vs BFA?
Our predicted score is Jonava 1–2 BFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Jonava vs BFA?
Jonava vs BFA (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
