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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dukagjini v FC Lugano: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Kampi Nacional Hajvalia

Dukagjini

LDWWW
1–5
FT

FC Lugano

WWLWW
Dukagjini 16%Draw 22%FC Lugano 62% Expected goals 0.67 – 1.60
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Lugano to win ✓62% · @1.61
Double chanceFC Lugano or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.25

Dukagjini vs FC Lugano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Lugano travel to face Dukagjini on Wednesday 29 July in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Kampi Nacional Hajvalia the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT.

Current form

Dukagjini, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Lugano, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

FC Lugano, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Vaduz, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Jul 2026) it ended FC Lugano 1–0 Dukagjini.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dukagjini 0.7 xG, FC Lugano 1.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dukagjini 16%, draw 22%, FC Lugano 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dukagjini 0–1 FC Lugano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dukagjini16%fair 6.35 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.75
FC Lugano62%fair 1.61 · @1.61
2.28Expected goals
0.67Dukagjini xG
1.60FC Lugano xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–37%

From our goals model: Dukagjini 0.7 – 1.6 FC Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Lugano to win ✓62%1.611.61
Double chanceFC Lugano or draw ✓84%1.191.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.83
Draw no betFC Lugano (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapDukagjini +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.321.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
First team to scoreFC Lugano to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Lugano / FT FC Lugano ✓37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.25–

Recent results

Dukagjini – last 6

LDWWWW
23 Jul@ FC Lugano0–1L
4 Jul@ Lokomotiv Sofia3–3D
31 Mayvs Ballkani1–0W
24 May@ Prishtina e Re3–2W
21 May@ Ferizaj2–1W
17 Mayvs Drita2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Lugano – last 6

WWLWWD
26 Julvs FC Vaduz2–1W
23 Julvs Dukagjini1–0W
17 Julvs FC Vaduz1–2L
10 Jul@ 1. FC Heidenheim1–0W
7 Jul@ Memmingen4–0W
4 Julvs Rapperswil1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026FC Lugano v Dukagjini1–0
Dukagjini vs FC Lugano head-to-head page →

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano3300+79
2Panathinaikos3300+69
3Twente3300+69
4Monaco3300+69
5Brighton3210+57
6Brann3210+47
7FC Copenhagen3210+47
8Universitatea Craiova3210+47
9Mjallby AIF3210+47
10St. Truiden3210+37
11Ajax3201+66
12Trabzonspor3201+36
13HNK Hajduk Split3201+16
14SC Freiburg3201-16
15FK Crvena Zvezda311104
16Atalanta311104
17SC Braga3111-14
18Gent3111-14
19Riga303003
20FC Thun310203
21Borac Banja Luka3102-13
22Lincoln Red Imps FC3102-33
23FK Jablonec3021-12
24Aarhus3021-12
25FC Nordsjaelland3021-22
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë3021-22
27Kairat Almaty3021-42
28CSKA Sofia3012-21
29FC Iberia 19993012-31
30Pafos3012-41
31Getafe3012-41
32Heart Of Midlothian3012-41
33KuPS3012-41
34FC Midtjylland3012-61
35Inter Club d'Escaldes3003-50
36Kauno Žalgiris3003-100

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT FC Copenhagen2 Polessya1 156%1.64X23%3.85220%4.50 2.4–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 84%@1.20 ✓
FT Rapid Vienna6 FC Santa Coloma2 172%1.13X17%7.00211%17.00 2.4–0.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.35 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dukagjini vs FC Lugano?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Dukagjini vs FC Lugano?

On our numbers Dukagjini have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Lugano 62%.

How many goals will there be in Dukagjini vs FC Lugano?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dukagjini vs FC Lugano?

Our predicted score is Dukagjini 0–1 FC Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Dukagjini vs FC Lugano?

Dukagjini vs FC Lugano (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 July 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Kampi Nacional Hajvalia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.