ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 2 August the Premiership brings ST Johnstone against Kilmarnock at McDiarmid Park. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, ST Johnstone are 7th, lower half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Kilmarnock are 12th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
ST Johnstone, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with East Fife, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kilmarnock, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Peterhead, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ST Johnstone 1.6 xG, Kilmarnock 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ST Johnstone 46%, draw 25%, Kilmarnock 30%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: ST Johnstone 1–1 Kilmarnock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ST Johnstone46%fair 2.20 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.35
Kilmarnock30%fair 3.38 · @3.15
2.78Expected goals
1.64ST Johnstone xG
1.15Kilmarnock xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: ST Johnstone 1.6 – 1.1 Kilmarnock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ST Johnstone to win✓
46%
2.20
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Draw no bet
ST Johnstone (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Kilmarnock +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.12
First team to score
ST Johnstone to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ST Johnstone / FT ST Johnstone✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
ST Johnstone – last 6
DLWWWW
25 Jul
vs East Fife
1–1
D
21 Jul
@ Inverness CT
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Morton
3–0
W
14 Jul
@ Linlithgow Rose
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Cove Rangers
4–2
W
4 Jul
@ Montrose
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kilmarnock – last 6
DWWDWW
25 Jul
@ Peterhead
0–0
D
21 Jul
vs Hamilton Academical
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Elgin City
1–0
W
14 Jul
vs Raith Rovers
0–0
D
4 Jul
@ Linfield
3–2
W
1 Jul
@ Glentoran
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ST Johnstone and Kilmarnock.
What is the prediction for ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock?
On our numbers ST Johnstone have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kilmarnock 30%.
How many goals will there be in ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock?
Our predicted score is ST Johnstone 1–1 Kilmarnock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock?
ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at McDiarmid Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
