Hibernian vs Motherwell: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Sunday 2 August: Hibernian v Motherwell in the Premiership, played at Easter Road. In the table, Hibernian are 10th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 12 matches; Motherwell are 9th (lower half) with 13. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hibernian, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Malisheva, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Motherwell, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over HB Torshavn, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Hibernian, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Motherwell.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hibernian 1.7 xG, Motherwell 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hibernian 47%, draw 24%, Motherwell 29%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hibernian 1–1 Motherwell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hibernian47%fair 2.13 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.40
Motherwell29%fair 3.49 · @3.05
2.74Expected goals
1.68Hibernian xG
1.06Motherwell xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: Hibernian 1.7 – 1.1 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hibernian to win✗
47%
2.13
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Draw no bet
Hibernian (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Motherwell +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
First team to score
Hibernian to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hibernian / FT Hibernian✗
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Hibernian – last 6
WLWWLW
30 Jul
vs Malisheva
4–1
W
23 Jul
@ Malisheva
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Brondby
2–1
W
4 Jul
@ Cliftonville FC
5–1
W
30 Jun
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–1
L
13 May
@ Rangers
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Motherwell – last 6
WWLLLL
30 Jul
@ HB Torshavn
3–0
W
23 Jul
vs HB Torshavn
2–0
W
17 Jul
vs Genk
3–4
L
5 Jul
@ Aarhus
0–4
L
13 May
vs Celtic
2–3
L
18 Feb
@ Aberdeen
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hibernian and Motherwell.
What is the prediction for Hibernian vs Motherwell?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hibernian vs Motherwell?
On our numbers Hibernian have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Motherwell 29%.
How many goals will there be in Hibernian vs Motherwell?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hibernian vs Motherwell?
Our predicted score is Hibernian 1–1 Motherwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hibernian vs Motherwell?
Hibernian vs Motherwell (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Easter Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
