Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCeltic to win ✓71% · @1.20
Double chanceCeltic or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.46
Celtic vs Falkirk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Celtic v Falkirk in the Premiership, played at Celtic Park. In the table, Celtic are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 13 matches; Falkirk are 3rd (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
Celtic, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Lask Linz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Falkirk, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Motherwell, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Celtic, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Falkirk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celtic 2.2 xG, Falkirk 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celtic 71%, draw 16%, Falkirk 13%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Celtic to win (71%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celtic 2–0 Falkirk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celtic71%fair 1.41 · @1.20
Draw16%fair 6.20 · @6.75
Falkirk13%fair 7.68 · @11.50
2.92Expected goals
2.16Celtic xG
0.76Falkirk xG
56%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Celtic 2.2 – 0.8 Falkirk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celtic to win✓
71%
1.41
1.20
Double chance
Celtic or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.80
Draw no bet
Celtic (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Celtic -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.90 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.38
First team to score
Celtic to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Celtic ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celtic / FT Celtic✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Celtic – last 6
LWWWWD
25 Aug
@ Lask Linz
1–4
L
19 Aug
vs Lask Linz
3–0
W
15 Aug
@ Dundee Utd
4–0
W
9 Aug
@ Kilmarnock
5–1
W
3 Aug
vs Dundee
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs AC Milan
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Falkirk – last 6
DLWDWL
9 Aug
@ Motherwell
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs ST Mirren
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Stranraer
3–0
W
21 Jul
@ Alloa Athletic
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Genk
1–0
W
14 Jul
vs Ayr Utd
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celtic and Falkirk.
Our pick is Celtic to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Celtic vs Falkirk?
On our numbers Celtic have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Falkirk 13%.
How many goals will there be in Celtic vs Falkirk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celtic vs Falkirk?
Our predicted score is Celtic 2–0 Falkirk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Celtic vs Falkirk?
Celtic vs Falkirk (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Celtic Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
