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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kilmarnock v Dundee Utd: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Scotland · Rugby Park
0–4
FT
Kilmarnock 46%Draw 21%Dundee Utd 33% Expected goals 1.90 – 1.59
81%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Kilmarnock to win @ 2.55 – our chance 46% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKilmarnock to win ✗46% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 29 August the Premiership brings Kilmarnock against Dundee Utd at Rugby Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Kilmarnock are 12th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Dundee Utd are 6th (upper half) with 17.

Current form

Kilmarnock, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Ayr Utd, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Dundee Utd, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dundee, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kilmarnock, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Dundee Utd.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Dundee Utd 1–1 Kilmarnock.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kilmarnock 1.9 xG, Dundee Utd 1.6 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kilmarnock 46%, draw 21%, Dundee Utd 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Kilmarnock to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kilmarnock 1–1 Dundee Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kilmarnock46%fair 2.19 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.50
Dundee Utd33%fair 3.03 · @2.56
3.49Expected goals
1.90Kilmarnock xG
1.59Dundee Utd xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
3–16%

From our goals model: Kilmarnock 1.9 – 1.6 Dundee Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKilmarnock to win ✗46%2.192.55 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.531.62 ▲
Draw no betKilmarnock (draw no bet) ✗58%1.72–
Asian handicapDundee Utd +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.631.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.13
First team to scoreKilmarnock to score first ✗53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.77–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kilmarnock / FT Kilmarnock ✗28%3.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.42–

Recent results

Kilmarnock – last 6

WLLDWW
14 Augvs Ayr Utd3–2W
9 Augvs Celtic1–5L
2 Aug@ ST Johnstone3–4L
25 Jul@ Peterhead0–0D
21 Julvs Hamilton Academical1–0W
18 Jul@ Elgin City1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Dundee Utd – last 6

LLLDLW
22 Augvs Dundee0–2L
15 Augvs Celtic0–4L
9 Aug@ Heart Of Midlothian0–4L
31 Julvs Rangers1–1D
25 Jul@ Salford City2–3L
21 Julvs Spartans4–0W
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Dundee Utd v Kilmarnock1–1
Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic131012+1831
2Rangers12831+1227
3Falkirk13634+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12624+420
5Dundee12525+317
6Dundee Utd12453017
7ST Johnstone13454-317
8ST Mirren13427-1014
9Motherwell13346-613
10Hibernian12327-211
11Aberdeen12327-611
12Kilmarnock13238-169

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd?

On our numbers Kilmarnock have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dundee Utd 33%.

How many goals will there be in Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd?

Our predicted score is Kilmarnock 1–1 Dundee Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd?

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rugby Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.