Value bet: Dundee to win @ 2.56 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDundee to win ✗44% · @2.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.22
Dundee vs ST Johnstone: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Wednesday 2 September: Dundee v ST Johnstone in the Premiership, played at Dens Park. In the table, Dundee are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; ST Johnstone are 7th (lower half) with 17. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Dundee, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hibernian, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
ST Johnstone, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Heart Of Midlothian, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dundee 1.5 xG, ST Johnstone 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dundee 44%, draw 22%, ST Johnstone 34%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Dundee to win @2.56 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundee 1–1 ST Johnstone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dundee44%fair 2.25 · @2.56
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
ST Johnstone34%fair 2.95 · @2.58
2.71Expected goals
1.47Dundee xG
1.24ST Johnstone xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Dundee 1.5 – 1.2 ST Johnstone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dundee to win✗
44%
2.25
2.56 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Draw no bet
Dundee (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
ST Johnstone +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.11
First team to score
Dundee to score first
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dundee / FT Dundee✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.22
–
Recent results
Dundee – last 6
LWLWLW
30 Aug
vs Hibernian
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Dundee Utd
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Aberdeen
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Aberdeen
2–0
W
3 Aug
@ Celtic
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Clyde
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
ST Johnstone – last 6
LLWDLW
29 Aug
@ Heart Of Midlothian
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ ST Mirren
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Kilmarnock
4–3
W
25 Jul
vs East Fife
1–1
D
21 Jul
@ Inverness CT
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Morton
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dundee and ST Johnstone.
What is the prediction for Dundee vs ST Johnstone?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Dundee vs ST Johnstone?
On our numbers Dundee have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and ST Johnstone 34%.
How many goals will there be in Dundee vs ST Johnstone?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundee vs ST Johnstone?
Our predicted score is Dundee 1–1 ST Johnstone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dundee vs ST Johnstone?
Dundee vs ST Johnstone (Premiership) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Dens Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
