Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultST Mirren to win ✓41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.16
Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
ST Mirren travel to face Kilmarnock on Wednesday 2 September in the Premiership, with Rugby Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Kilmarnock are 12th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; ST Mirren are 8th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Kilmarnock, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Dundee Utd, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
ST Mirren, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Motherwell, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours ST Mirren, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Kilmarnock.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kilmarnock 1.7 xG, ST Mirren 1.8 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kilmarnock 37%, draw 21%, ST Mirren 41%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kilmarnock 1–1 ST Mirren. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kilmarnock37%fair 2.67 · @2.72
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.50
ST Mirren41%fair 2.43 · @2.40
3.56Expected goals
1.73Kilmarnock xG
1.82ST Mirren xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: Kilmarnock 1.7 – 1.8 ST Mirren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ST Mirren to win✓
41%
2.43
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.65
Draw no bet
ST Mirren (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Kilmarnock +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.13
First team to score
ST Mirren to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ST Mirren / FT ST Mirren✓
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.16
–
Recent results
Kilmarnock – last 6
LWLLDW
29 Aug
vs Dundee Utd
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Ayr Utd
3–2
W
9 Aug
vs Celtic
1–5
L
2 Aug
@ ST Johnstone
3–4
L
25 Jul
@ Peterhead
0–0
D
21 Jul
vs Hamilton Academical
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
ST Mirren – last 6
DLWWLW
30 Aug
vs Motherwell
3–3
D
16 Aug
@ Rangers
1–5
L
8 Aug
vs ST Johnstone
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Falkirk
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Dunfermline
0–1
L
21 Jul
vs East Kilbride
4–3
W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kilmarnock and ST Mirren.
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
On our numbers Kilmarnock have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and ST Mirren 41%.
How many goals will there be in Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
Our predicted score is Kilmarnock 1–1 ST Mirren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren (Premiership) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Rugby Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
