Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Aberdeen v ST Johnstone in the Premiership, played at Pittodrie Stadium. In the table, Aberdeen are 11th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 12 matches; ST Johnstone are 7th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Aberdeen, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Dunfermline, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
ST Johnstone, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Falkirk, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Aberdeen, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for ST Johnstone.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aberdeen 1.3 xG, ST Johnstone 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aberdeen 45%, draw 23%, ST Johnstone 32%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aberdeen 1–1 ST Johnstone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aberdeen45%fair 2.24 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
ST Johnstone32%fair 3.11 · @3.20
2.43Expected goals
1.34Aberdeen xG
1.09ST Johnstone xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Aberdeen 1.3 – 1.1 ST Johnstone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aberdeen to win✗
45%
2.24
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Draw no bet
Aberdeen (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
ST Johnstone +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Aberdeen to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aberdeen / FT Aberdeen✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
Aberdeen – last 6
WDWDDL
3 Oct
@ Dunfermline
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Hibernian
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Motherwell
4–0
W
12 Sep
@ Kilmarnock
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Kilmarnock
0–0
D
2 Sep
@ Celtic
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
ST Johnstone – last 6
DLWDLL
19 Sep
vs Falkirk
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Celtic
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Hibernian
2–1
W
2 Sep
@ Dundee
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Heart Of Midlothian
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ ST Mirren
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aberdeen and ST Johnstone.
What is the prediction for Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone?
On our numbers Aberdeen have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and ST Johnstone 32%.
How many goals will there be in Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone?
Our predicted score is Aberdeen 1–1 ST Johnstone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone?
Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Pittodrie Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
