Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultCeltic to win ✓67% · @1.60
Double chanceCeltic or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Motherwell vs Celtic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Motherwell welcome Celtic to Fir Park for a Premiership fixture on Sunday 11 October (12:00 WAT). In the table, Motherwell are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Celtic are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Motherwell, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dundee, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Celtic, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rangers, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Celtic, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Motherwell.
Head to head
When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Motherwell 2–3 Celtic.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Motherwell 0.8 xG, Celtic 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Motherwell 15%, draw 18%, Celtic 67%.
Lower-risk option: Celtic or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Celtic to win (67%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motherwell 0–1 Celtic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Motherwell15%fair 6.62 · @4.60
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @4.20
Celtic67%fair 1.50 · @1.60
2.71Expected goals
0.76Motherwell xG
1.95Celtic xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Motherwell 0.8 – 1.9 Celtic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Celtic to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Motherwell vs Celtic?
On our numbers Motherwell have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Celtic 67%.
How many goals will there be in Motherwell vs Celtic?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs Celtic?
Our predicted score is Motherwell 0–1 Celtic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Motherwell vs Celtic?
Motherwell vs Celtic (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Fir Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
