Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Falkirk to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFalkirk to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceFalkirk or draw ✗81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Falkirk vs Dundee: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Falkirk v Dundee in the Premiership, played at Falkirk Stadium. In the table, Falkirk are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 13 matches; Dundee are 5th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Falkirk, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with ST Johnstone, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Dundee, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Motherwell, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Falkirk 1.5 xG, Dundee 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Falkirk 57%, draw 23%, Dundee 19%.
Lower-risk option: Falkirk or draw (81%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Falkirk to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Falkirk or draw (81%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.24, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Falkirk 1–0 Dundee. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Falkirk57%fair 1.74 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.40
Dundee19%fair 5.14 · @3.50
2.21Expected goals
1.49Falkirk xG
0.72Dundee xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Falkirk 1.5 – 0.7 Dundee expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Falkirk to win✗
57%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Falkirk or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.65
Draw no bet
Falkirk (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Dundee +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Falkirk to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Falkirk / FT Falkirk✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
Falkirk – last 6
DWDLLD
19 Sep
@ ST Johnstone
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Heart Of Midlothian
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Dundee Utd
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Rangers
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Celtic
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Motherwell
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dundee – last 6
WLDLWL
19 Sep
vs Motherwell
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Heart Of Midlothian
1–2
L
2 Sep
vs ST Johnstone
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Hibernian
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Dundee Utd
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Aberdeen
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Falkirk and Dundee.
Our pick is Falkirk or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Falkirk vs Dundee?
On our numbers Falkirk have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dundee 19%.
How many goals will there be in Falkirk vs Dundee?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Falkirk vs Dundee?
Our predicted score is Falkirk 1–0 Dundee, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Falkirk vs Dundee?
Falkirk vs Dundee (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Falkirk Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
