Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultHeart Of Midlothian to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Premiership brings Heart Of Midlothian against ST Mirren at Tynecastle Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Heart Of Midlothian are 4th, among the top four, on 20 points after 12 matches; ST Mirren are 8th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Heart Of Midlothian, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kilmarnock, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
ST Mirren, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Dundee Utd, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Heart Of Midlothian, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for ST Mirren.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heart Of Midlothian 2.0 xG, ST Mirren 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heart Of Midlothian 68%, draw 17%, ST Mirren 15%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Heart Of Midlothian to win (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heart Of Midlothian 2–0 ST Mirren. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heart Of Midlothian68%fair 1.48 · @1.44
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @4.50
ST Mirren15%fair 6.75 · @5.80
2.79Expected goals
2.01Heart Of Midlothian xG
0.78ST Mirren xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Heart Of Midlothian 2.0 – 0.8 ST Mirren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heart Of Midlothian to win✓
68%
1.48
1.44
Double chance
Heart Of Midlothian or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.65
Draw no bet
Heart Of Midlothian (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Heart Of Midlothian -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Heart Of Midlothian to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Heart Of Midlothian ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heart Of Midlothian / FT Heart Of Midlothian✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Heart Of Midlothian – last 6
DLWWWW
19 Sep
@ Kilmarnock
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Falkirk
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Stenhousemuir
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Dundee
2–1
W
3 Sep
@ Hibernian
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs ST Johnstone
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
ST Mirren – last 6
LLLWDL
19 Sep
vs Dundee Utd
0–3
L
9 Sep
@ Rangers
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Celtic
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Kilmarnock
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Motherwell
3–3
D
16 Aug
@ Rangers
1–5
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heart Of Midlothian and ST Mirren.
What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?
Our pick is Heart Of Midlothian to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?
On our numbers Heart Of Midlothian have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and ST Mirren 15%.
How many goals will there be in Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?
Our predicted score is Heart Of Midlothian 2–0 ST Mirren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?
Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tynecastle Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
