ST Mirren 36%Draw 21%Dundee 42%Expected goals 1.30 – 1.42
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Dundee to win @ 2.90 – our chance 42% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDundee to win ✗42% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.55
ST Mirren vs Dundee: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: ST Mirren v Dundee in the Premiership, played at The SMISA Stadium. In the table, ST Mirren are 8th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Dundee are 5th (upper half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
ST Mirren, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Aberdeen, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Dundee, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Rangers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Dundee, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for ST Mirren.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ST Mirren 1.3 xG, Dundee 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ST Mirren 36%, draw 21%, Dundee 42%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Dundee to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ST Mirren36%fair 2.74 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.50
Dundee42%fair 2.36 · @2.90
2.72Expected goals
1.30ST Mirren xG
1.42Dundee xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: ST Mirren 1.3 – 1.4 Dundee expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dundee to win✗
42%
2.36
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Draw no bet
Dundee (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
ST Mirren +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Dundee to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dundee / FT Dundee✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.55
–
Recent results
ST Mirren – last 6
LLLLLW
17 Oct
@ Aberdeen
1–3
L
10 Oct
@ Heart Of Midlothian
0–5
L
19 Sep
vs Dundee Utd
0–3
L
9 Sep
@ Rangers
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Celtic
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Kilmarnock
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dundee – last 6
DWWLDL
17 Oct
vs Rangers
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Falkirk
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Motherwell
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Heart Of Midlothian
1–2
L
2 Sep
vs ST Johnstone
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Hibernian
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ST Mirren and Dundee.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Dundee?
On our numbers ST Mirren have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dundee 42%.
How many goals will there be in ST Mirren vs Dundee?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ST Mirren vs Dundee?
Our predicted score is ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is ST Mirren vs Dundee?
ST Mirren vs Dundee (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The SMISA Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
