Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: ST Johnstone to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKilmarnock to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kilmarnock welcome ST Johnstone to Rugby Park for a Premiership fixture on Saturday 31 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, Kilmarnock are 12th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; ST Johnstone are 7th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Kilmarnock, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Dundee, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
ST Johnstone, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Motherwell, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended ST Johnstone 4–3 Kilmarnock.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kilmarnock 1.5 xG, ST Johnstone 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kilmarnock 40%, draw 21%, ST Johnstone 38%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: ST Johnstone to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kilmarnock 1–1 ST Johnstone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kilmarnock40%fair 2.48 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.40
ST Johnstone38%fair 2.61 · @2.80
3.05Expected goals
1.55Kilmarnock xG
1.50ST Johnstone xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Kilmarnock 1.5 – 1.5 ST Johnstone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone?
On our numbers Kilmarnock have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and ST Johnstone 38%.
How many goals will there be in Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone?
Our predicted score is Kilmarnock 1–1 ST Johnstone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone?
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Rugby Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
