Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Motherwell to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMotherwell to win ✓60% · @1.83
Double chanceMotherwell or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Motherwell v ST Mirren in the Premiership, played at Fir Park. In the table, Motherwell are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; ST Mirren are 8th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Motherwell, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with ST Johnstone, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
ST Mirren, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hibernian, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours ST Mirren, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Motherwell.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Aug 2026) it ended ST Mirren 3–3 Motherwell.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Motherwell 2.0 xG, ST Mirren 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Motherwell 60%, draw 23%, ST Mirren 17%.
Lower-risk option: Motherwell or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Motherwell to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Motherwell or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motherwell 1–0 ST Mirren. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Motherwell60%fair 1.66 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.70
ST Mirren17%fair 5.88 · @3.80
2.91Expected goals
1.96Motherwell xG
0.95ST Mirren xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Motherwell 2.0 – 1.0 ST Mirren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
Our pick is Motherwell or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
On our numbers Motherwell have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and ST Mirren 17%.
How many goals will there be in Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
Our predicted score is Motherwell 1–0 ST Mirren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
Motherwell vs ST Mirren (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Fir Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
