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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Celtic v Kilmarnock: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Scotland · Celtic Park

Celtic

WLDWL
1–0
FT
Celtic 71%Draw 19%Kilmarnock 10% Expected goals 2.63 – 0.99
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultCeltic to win ✓71% · @1.18
Double chanceCeltic or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91

Celtic vs Kilmarnock: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 November the Premiership brings Celtic against Kilmarnock at Celtic Park. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Celtic are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 13 matches; Kilmarnock are 12th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Celtic, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Beşiktaş, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Kilmarnock, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with ST Johnstone, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Celtic, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Kilmarnock.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic. The last 2 head-to-heads: Celtic 2 wins, Kilmarnock 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Celtic 2.6 xG, Kilmarnock 1.0 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Celtic 71%, draw 19%, Kilmarnock 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celtic 2–1 Kilmarnock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Celtic71%fair 1.41 · @1.18
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @7.50
Kilmarnock10%fair 9.60 · @11.00
3.63Expected goals
2.63Celtic xG
0.99Kilmarnock xG
59%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–09%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%

From our goals model: Celtic 2.6 – 1.0 Kilmarnock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCeltic to win ✓71%1.411.18
Double chanceCeltic or draw ✓90%1.121.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.75
Draw no betCeltic (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapCeltic -1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗89%1.131.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73%1.371.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗54%1.861.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓65%1.531.57
First team to scoreCeltic to score first ✓71%1.42–
Half-time resultCeltic ahead at half-time ✓54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Celtic / FT Celtic ✓49%2.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.91–

Recent results

Celtic – last 6

WLDWLW
5 Novvs Beşiktaş3–2W
1 Nov@ Falkirk0–2L
28 Octvs Dundee Utd2–2D
25 Oct@ Hibernian2–1W
22 Octvs Celta Vigo1–2L
18 Octvs Heart Of Midlothian7–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Kilmarnock – last 6

DLLWLD
31 Octvs ST Johnstone2–2D
28 Oct@ Dundee1–3L
24 Oct@ Falkirk0–3L
17 Octvs Motherwell3–2W
10 Oct@ Rangers1–3L
19 Sepvs Heart Of Midlothian1–1D
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Aug 2026Kilmarnock v Celtic1–5
15 Feb 2026Kilmarnock v Celtic2–3
Celtic vs Kilmarnock head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic131012+1831
2Rangers12831+1227
3Falkirk13634+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12624+420
5Dundee12525+317
6Dundee Utd12453017
7ST Johnstone13454-317
8ST Mirren13427-1014
9Motherwell13346-613
10Hibernian12327-211
11Aberdeen12327-611
12Kilmarnock13238-169

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

On our numbers Celtic have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kilmarnock 10%.

How many goals will there be in Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Our predicted score is Celtic 2–1 Kilmarnock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Celtic vs Kilmarnock (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Celtic Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.