Wednesday 11 November 2026 19 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Scotland · Tynecastle Park
2–5
FT

Falkirk

WWWWL
Heart Of Midlothian 58%Draw 23%Falkirk 19% Expected goals 1.90 – 1.01
81%
Betarazi pick

Heart Of Midlothian or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultHeart Of Midlothian to win ✗58% · @1.75
Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Falkirk travel to face Heart Of Midlothian on Sunday 8 November in the Premiership, with Tynecastle Park the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Heart Of Midlothian are 4th, among the top four, on 20 points after 12 matches; Falkirk are 3rd (among the top four) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Heart Of Midlothian, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to FC Thun, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Falkirk, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Celtic, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Falkirk, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Heart Of Midlothian.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Sep 2026) it ended Falkirk 2–1 Heart Of Midlothian. The last 3 head-to-heads: Heart Of Midlothian 2 wins, Falkirk 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Heart Of Midlothian 1.9 xG, Falkirk 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Heart Of Midlothian 58%, draw 23%, Falkirk 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Heart Of Midlothian or draw (81%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Heart Of Midlothian or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 Falkirk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Heart Of Midlothian58%fair 1.73 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @4.10
Falkirk19%fair 5.17 · @4.00
2.92Expected goals
1.90Heart Of Midlothian xG
1.01Falkirk xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Heart Of Midlothian 1.9 – 1.0 Falkirk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHeart Of Midlothian to win ✗58%1.731.75
Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✗81%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.70
Draw no betHeart Of Midlothian (draw no bet) ✗75%1.34–
Asian handicapFalkirk +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.511.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.221.17
First team to scoreHeart Of Midlothian to score first ✗62%1.62–
Half-time resultHeart Of Midlothian ahead at half-time ✗42%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Heart Of Midlothian / FT Heart Of Midlothian ✗37%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

Heart Of Midlothian – last 6

LLDWLL
5 Nov@ FC Thun1–3L
1 Novvs Hibernian1–2L
28 Octvs Rangers2–2D
25 Oct@ Motherwell2–0W
22 Oct@ Trabzonspor0–2L
18 Oct@ Celtic1–7L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Falkirk – last 6

WWWWLD
1 Novvs Celtic2–0W
28 Oct@ Aberdeen1–0W
24 Octvs Kilmarnock3–0W
17 Oct@ Hibernian2–1W
10 Octvs Dundee1–2L
19 Sep@ ST Johnstone1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Sep 2026Falkirk v Heart Of Midlothian2–1
13 May 2026Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk3–0
21 Feb 2026Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk1–0
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic131012+1831
2Rangers12831+1227
3Falkirk13634+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12624+420
5Dundee12525+317
6Dundee Utd12453017
7ST Johnstone13454-317
8ST Mirren13427-1014
9Motherwell13346-613
10Hibernian12327-211
11Aberdeen12327-611
12Kilmarnock13238-169

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?

Our pick is Heart Of Midlothian or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?

On our numbers Heart Of Midlothian have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Falkirk 19%.

How many goals will there be in Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?

Our predicted score is Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 Falkirk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tynecastle Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.