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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ayr Utd v Inverness CT: numbers & prediction

Championship · Scotland · Somerset Park

Ayr Utd

LDLLD
1–3
FT
Ayr Utd 40%Draw 23%Inverness CT 37% Expected goals 0.88 – 0.82
51%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.95Odds
1

Value bet: Ayr Utd to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAyr Utd to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.25

Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 12 September the Championship brings Ayr Utd against Inverness CT at Somerset Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ayr Utd are 7th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Inverness CT are 6th (lower half) with 20.

Current form

Ayr Utd, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Partick, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Inverness CT, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Raith Rovers, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Feb 2026) it ended Ayr Utd 1–2 Inverness CT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ayr Utd 0.9 xG, Inverness CT 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ayr Utd 40%, draw 23%, Inverness CT 37%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Ayr Utd to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ayr Utd 0–0 Inverness CT. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ayr Utd40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Inverness CT37%fair 2.69 · @2.45
1.70Expected goals
0.88Ayr Utd xG
0.82Inverness CT xG
49%Both score
24%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–018%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Ayr Utd 0.9 – 0.8 Inverness CT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAyr Utd to win ✗40%2.502.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.971.95
Draw no betAyr Utd (draw no bet) ✗52%1.93–
Asian handicapInverness CT +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗91%1.10–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreAyr Utd to score first42%2.38–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗26%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.25–

Recent results

Ayr Utd – last 6

LDLLDW
5 Sep@ Partick0–1L
29 Augvs Morton1–1D
22 Aug@ Raith Rovers0–2L
14 Aug@ Kilmarnock2–3L
8 Aug@ Dunfermline1–1D
1 Augvs Arbroath2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Inverness CT – last 6

LLDLDD
5 Sepvs Raith Rovers0–2L
29 Aug@ Stenhousemuir1–3L
21 Augvs Partick1–1D
16 Aug@ Heart Of Midlothian2–6L
8 Aug@ Arbroath0–0D
1 Augvs Dunfermline0–0D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Feb 2026Ayr Utd v Inverness CT1–2
Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick14842+1128
2Raith Rovers14743+1125
3Dunfermline14671+825
4Stenhousemuir14725023
5Livingston14635+721
6Inverness CT14554+120
7Ayr Utd13436-415
8Arbroath14428-1214
9Morton13418-713
10Queen's Park142111-157

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT?

On our numbers Ayr Utd have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Inverness CT 37%.

How many goals will there be in Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT?

Our predicted score is Ayr Utd 0–0 Inverness CT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT?

Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Somerset Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.