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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Raith Rovers v Arbroath: numbers & prediction

Championship · Scotland
4–0
FT
Raith Rovers 64%Draw 24%Arbroath 12% Expected goals 1.40 – 0.40
64%
Betarazi pick

Raith Rovers to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultRaith Rovers to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceRaith Rovers or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.32

Raith Rovers vs Arbroath: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Raith Rovers welcome Arbroath for a Championship fixture on Saturday 12 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Raith Rovers are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 14 matches; Arbroath are 8th (in the drop zone) with 14.

Current form

Raith Rovers, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Inverness CT, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Arbroath, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dunfermline, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Raith Rovers 1.4 xG, Arbroath 0.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Raith Rovers 64%, draw 24%, Arbroath 12%.
  • Lower-risk option: Raith Rovers or draw (88%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Raith Rovers to win (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Raith Rovers 1–0 Arbroath. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Raith Rovers64%fair 1.56 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.40
Arbroath12%fair 8.37 · @5.00
1.80Expected goals
1.40Raith Rovers xG
0.40Arbroath xG
48%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–023%
0–017%
2–016%
1–19%
3–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Raith Rovers 1.4 – 0.4 Arbroath expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRaith Rovers to win ✓64%1.561.62
Double chanceRaith Rovers or draw ✓88%1.141.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.80
Draw no betRaith Rovers (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapRaith Rovers -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreRaith Rovers to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers ✓38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23%4.32–

Recent results

Raith Rovers – last 6

WLWWDL
5 Sep@ Inverness CT2–0W
28 Aug@ Dunfermline0–1L
22 Augvs Ayr Utd2–0W
8 Aug@ Queen's Park2–1W
1 Augvs Stenhousemuir1–1D
24 Julvs Heart Of Midlothian0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Arbroath – last 6

DWWDLW
5 Sepvs Dunfermline1–1D
29 Augvs Livingston1–0W
22 Aug@ Morton2–1W
8 Augvs Inverness CT0–0D
1 Aug@ Ayr Utd0–2L
25 Julvs Stirling Albion1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Raith Rovers and Arbroath.

Raith Rovers vs Arbroath head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick14842+1128
2Raith Rovers14743+1125
3Dunfermline14671+825
4Stenhousemuir14725023
5Livingston14635+721
6Inverness CT14554+120
7Ayr Utd13436-415
8Arbroath14428-1214
9Morton13418-713
10Queen's Park142111-157

More Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Raith Rovers vs Arbroath?

Our pick is Raith Rovers to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Raith Rovers vs Arbroath?

On our numbers Raith Rovers have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arbroath 12%.

How many goals will there be in Raith Rovers vs Arbroath?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Raith Rovers vs Arbroath?

Our predicted score is Raith Rovers 1–0 Arbroath, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Raith Rovers vs Arbroath?

Raith Rovers vs Arbroath (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.