Raith Rovers vs Livingston: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 25 September: Raith Rovers v Livingston in the Championship. In the table, Raith Rovers are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 14 matches; Livingston are 5th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Raith Rovers, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Partick, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Livingston, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Inverness CT, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Raith Rovers, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Livingston.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Raith Rovers 1.2 xG, Livingston 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Raith Rovers 42%, draw 24%, Livingston 34%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Raith Rovers 1–1 Livingston. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Raith Rovers42%fair 2.38 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Livingston34%fair 2.95 · @2.80
2.21Expected goals
1.19Raith Rovers xG
1.02Livingston xG
58%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Raith Rovers 1.2 – 1.0 Livingston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raith Rovers to win✗
42%
2.38
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Draw no bet
Raith Rovers (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Livingston +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Raith Rovers to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.66
–
Recent results
Raith Rovers – last 6
DWWLWW
19 Sep
@ Partick
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Arbroath
4–0
W
5 Sep
@ Inverness CT
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ Dunfermline
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Ayr Utd
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Queen's Park
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Livingston – last 6
DWLLWL
19 Sep
vs Inverness CT
2–2
D
11 Sep
@ Morton
4–1
W
4 Sep
vs Stenhousemuir
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Arbroath
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Dunfermline
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Partick
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raith Rovers and Livingston.
What is the prediction for Raith Rovers vs Livingston?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Raith Rovers vs Livingston?
On our numbers Raith Rovers have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Livingston 34%.
How many goals will there be in Raith Rovers vs Livingston?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raith Rovers vs Livingston?
Our predicted score is Raith Rovers 1–1 Livingston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Raith Rovers vs Livingston?
Raith Rovers vs Livingston (Championship) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
