Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultLivingston to win ✗64% · @1.53
Double chanceLivingston or draw ✗87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.49
Livingston vs Ayr Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Championship brings Livingston against Ayr Utd at The Home of the Set Fare Arena. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Livingston are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Ayr Utd are 7th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Livingston, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Raith Rovers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Ayr Utd, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Stenhousemuir, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Livingston, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Ayr Utd.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Livingston 1.6 xG, Ayr Utd 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Livingston 64%, draw 23%, Ayr Utd 13%.
Lower-risk option: Livingston or draw (87%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Livingston to win (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Livingston 1–0 Ayr Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Livingston64%fair 1.56 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @4.00
Ayr Utd13%fair 7.63 · @5.00
2.19Expected goals
1.63Livingston xG
0.56Ayr Utd xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Livingston 1.6 – 0.6 Ayr Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Livingston to win✗
64%
1.56
1.53
Double chance
Livingston or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.95
Draw no bet
Livingston (draw no bet)✗
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Livingston -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Livingston to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Livingston / FT Livingston✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.49
–
Recent results
Livingston – last 6
WDWLLW
25 Sep
@ Raith Rovers
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Inverness CT
2–2
D
11 Sep
@ Morton
4–1
W
4 Sep
vs Stenhousemuir
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Arbroath
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Dunfermline
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ayr Utd – last 6
LWLLDL
25 Sep
vs Stenhousemuir
0–1
L
18 Sep
@ Queen's Park
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Inverness CT
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Partick
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Morton
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Raith Rovers
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Livingston and Ayr Utd.
Our pick is Livingston to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Livingston vs Ayr Utd?
On our numbers Livingston have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ayr Utd 13%.
How many goals will there be in Livingston vs Ayr Utd?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livingston vs Ayr Utd?
Our predicted score is Livingston 1–0 Ayr Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Livingston vs Ayr Utd?
Livingston vs Ayr Utd (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
