Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultRaith Rovers to win ✓66% · @1.57
Double chanceRaith Rovers or draw ✓89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.32
Morton vs Raith Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Morton v Raith Rovers in the Championship, played at Cappielow Park. In the table, Morton are 9th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 13 matches; Raith Rovers are 2nd (among the top four) with 25. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Morton, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Inverness CT, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Raith Rovers, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Livingston, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Raith Rovers, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Morton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Morton 0.5 xG, Raith Rovers 1.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Morton 11%, draw 23%, Raith Rovers 66%.
Lower-risk option: Raith Rovers or draw (89%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Raith Rovers to win (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Morton 0–1 Raith Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Morton11%fair 9.17 · @5.00
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.75
Raith Rovers66%fair 1.51 · @1.57
2.19Expected goals
0.51Morton xG
1.68Raith Rovers xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–119%
0–216%
0–011%
1–110%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: Morton 0.5 – 1.7 Raith Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raith Rovers to win✓
66%
1.51
1.57
Double chance
Raith Rovers or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Draw no bet
Raith Rovers (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Raith Rovers -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Raith Rovers to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Raith Rovers ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.32
–
Recent results
Morton – last 6
LLLLDL
25 Sep
@ Inverness CT
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Dunfermline
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Livingston
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Queen's Park
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Ayr Utd
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Arbroath
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Raith Rovers – last 6
LDWWLW
25 Sep
vs Livingston
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Partick
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Arbroath
4–0
W
5 Sep
@ Inverness CT
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ Dunfermline
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Ayr Utd
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morton and Raith Rovers.
What is the prediction for Morton vs Raith Rovers?
Our pick is Raith Rovers to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Morton vs Raith Rovers?
On our numbers Morton have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Raith Rovers 66%.
How many goals will there be in Morton vs Raith Rovers?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morton vs Raith Rovers?
Our predicted score is Morton 0–1 Raith Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Morton vs Raith Rovers?
Morton vs Raith Rovers (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Cappielow Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
