Dunfermline vs Livingston: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dunfermline welcome Livingston to East End Park for a Championship fixture on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Dunfermline are 3rd, among the top four, on 25 points after 14 matches; Livingston are 5th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Dunfermline, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ayr Utd, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Livingston, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Partick, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Dunfermline, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Livingston.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Livingston 2–0 Dunfermline.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dunfermline 1.1 xG, Livingston 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dunfermline 41%, draw 23%, Livingston 36%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dunfermline 1–1 Livingston. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dunfermline41%fair 2.43 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.25
Livingston36%fair 2.76 · @2.60
2.06Expected goals
1.08Dunfermline xG
0.98Livingston xG
54%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Dunfermline 1.1 – 1.0 Livingston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dunfermline vs Livingston?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Dunfermline vs Livingston?
On our numbers Dunfermline have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Livingston 36%.
How many goals will there be in Dunfermline vs Livingston?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dunfermline vs Livingston?
Our predicted score is Dunfermline 1–1 Livingston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Dunfermline vs Livingston?
Dunfermline vs Livingston (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at East End Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
