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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stenhousemuir v Raith Rovers: numbers & prediction

Championship · Scotland · Ochilview Park
1–1
FT
Stenhousemuir 32%Draw 24%Raith Rovers 43% Expected goals 0.87 – 1.08
54%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultRaith Rovers to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.51

Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Stenhousemuir welcome Raith Rovers to Ochilview Park for a Championship fixture on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Stenhousemuir are 4th, among the top four, on 23 points after 14 matches; Raith Rovers are 2nd (among the top four) with 25. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Stenhousemuir, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Inverness CT, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Raith Rovers, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Queen's Park, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Raith Rovers 1–1 Stenhousemuir.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stenhousemuir 0.9 xG, Raith Rovers 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stenhousemuir 32%, draw 24%, Raith Rovers 43%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stenhousemuir 0–1 Raith Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stenhousemuir32%fair 3.08 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Raith Rovers43%fair 2.30 · @2.25
1.95Expected goals
0.87Stenhousemuir xG
1.08Raith Rovers xG
46%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%

From our goals model: Stenhousemuir 0.9 – 1.1 Raith Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRaith Rovers to win ✗43%2.302.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.871.83
Draw no betRaith Rovers (draw no bet)57%1.75–
Asian handicapStenhousemuir +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreRaith Rovers to score first ✗47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers ✗22%4.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.51–

Recent results

Stenhousemuir – last 6

LWWWLW
10 Oct@ Inverness CT0–2L
25 Sep@ Ayr Utd1–0W
19 Sepvs Arbroath1–0W
15 Sepvs Partick1–0W
11 Sepvs Heart Of Midlothian0–3L
4 Sep@ Livingston1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Raith Rovers – last 6

WWLDWW
10 Octvs Queen's Park2–0W
3 Oct@ Morton2–1W
25 Sepvs Livingston0–2L
19 Sep@ Partick0–0D
12 Sepvs Arbroath4–0W
5 Sep@ Inverness CT2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Aug 2026Raith Rovers v Stenhousemuir1–1
Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick14842+1128
2Raith Rovers14743+1125
3Dunfermline14671+825
4Stenhousemuir14725023
5Livingston14635+721
6Inverness CT14554+120
7Ayr Utd13436-415
8Arbroath14428-1214
9Morton13418-713
10Queen's Park142111-157

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers?

On our numbers Stenhousemuir have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Raith Rovers 43%.

How many goals will there be in Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers?

Our predicted score is Stenhousemuir 0–1 Raith Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers?

Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ochilview Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.