Value bet: Ayr Utd to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAyr Utd to win ✗47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.77
Arbroath vs Ayr Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the Championship brings Arbroath against Ayr Utd at Gayfield Park. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Arbroath are 8th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 14 matches; Ayr Utd are 7th (lower half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Arbroath, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Queen of the South, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Ayr Utd, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Annan Athletic, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ayr Utd, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Arbroath.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Ayr Utd 2–0 Arbroath. The last 2 head-to-heads: Arbroath 0 wins, Ayr Utd 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arbroath 1.0 xG, Ayr Utd 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arbroath 30%, draw 23%, Ayr Utd 47%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Ayr Utd to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arbroath 0–1 Ayr Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arbroath30%fair 3.32 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Ayr Utd47%fair 2.11 · @2.30
2.35Expected goals
1.00Arbroath xG
1.35Ayr Utd xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Arbroath 1.0 – 1.4 Ayr Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arbroath vs Ayr Utd?
On our numbers Arbroath have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ayr Utd 47%.
How many goals will there be in Arbroath vs Ayr Utd?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arbroath vs Ayr Utd?
Our predicted score is Arbroath 0–1 Ayr Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Arbroath vs Ayr Utd?
Arbroath vs Ayr Utd (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Gayfield Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
