Value bet: Morton to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMorton to win ✓42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.08
Morton vs Stenhousemuir: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the Championship brings Morton against Stenhousemuir at Cappielow Park. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Morton are 9th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 13 matches; Stenhousemuir are 4th (among the top four) with 23.
Current form
Morton, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kelty Hearts, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Stenhousemuir, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Berwick Rangers, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Morton, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Stenhousemuir.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Stenhousemuir 2–0 Morton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Morton 1.3 xG, Stenhousemuir 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Morton 42%, draw 23%, Stenhousemuir 35%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Morton to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Morton 1–1 Stenhousemuir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Morton42%fair 2.37 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Stenhousemuir35%fair 2.85 · @2.45
2.40Expected goals
1.27Morton xG
1.13Stenhousemuir xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Morton 1.3 – 1.1 Stenhousemuir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Morton vs Stenhousemuir?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Morton vs Stenhousemuir?
On our numbers Morton have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stenhousemuir 35%.
How many goals will there be in Morton vs Stenhousemuir?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morton vs Stenhousemuir?
Our predicted score is Morton 1–1 Stenhousemuir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Morton vs Stenhousemuir?
Morton vs Stenhousemuir (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Cappielow Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
