Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ayr Utd welcome Raith Rovers to Somerset Park for a Championship fixture on Saturday 14 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Ayr Utd are 7th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Raith Rovers are 2nd (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Ayr Utd, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Arbroath, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Raith Rovers, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dunfermline, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Raith Rovers 2–0 Ayr Utd. The last 2 head-to-heads: Ayr Utd 0 wins, Raith Rovers 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ayr Utd 0.9 xG, Raith Rovers 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ayr Utd 27%, draw 25%, Raith Rovers 48%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ayr Utd 0–1 Raith Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ayr Utd27%fair 3.68 · @2.88
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.30
Raith Rovers48%fair 2.10 · @2.15
2.41Expected goals
0.93Ayr Utd xG
1.48Raith Rovers xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: Ayr Utd 0.9 – 1.5 Raith Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ayr Utd
Raith Rovers
Attack vs Championship average
-8%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
+27%
-30%
Our expected goals here
0.82
1.54
Our own ratings from every Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers?
On our numbers Ayr Utd have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Raith Rovers 48%.
How many goals will there be in Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers?
Our predicted score is Ayr Utd 0–1 Raith Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers?
Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Somerset Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
