Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultLivingston to win68% · @1.25
Double chanceLivingston or draw89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.20
Livingston vs Morton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 November the Championship brings Livingston against Morton at The Home of the Set Fare Arena. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Livingston are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Morton are 9th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Livingston, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Inverness CT, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Morton, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Stenhousemuir, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Sep 2026) it ended Morton 1–4 Livingston.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Livingston 2.1 xG, Morton 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Livingston 68%, draw 20%, Morton 11%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Livingston to win (68%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Livingston 2–0 Morton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Livingston68%fair 1.46 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @5.00
Morton11%fair 8.83 · @10.00
2.94Expected goals
2.09Livingston xG
0.85Morton xG
54%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Livingston 2.1 – 0.8 Morton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Livingston
Morton
Attack vs Championship average
+14%
+19%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
+43%
Our expected goals here
2.06
0.99
Our own ratings from every Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Livingston to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Livingston vs Morton?
On our numbers Livingston have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Morton 11%.
How many goals will there be in Livingston vs Morton?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livingston vs Morton?
Our predicted score is Livingston 2–0 Morton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Livingston vs Morton?
Livingston vs Morton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
