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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

East Fife v Hamilton Academical: numbers & prediction

League One · Scotland · MGM Timber Bayview Stadium
0–0
FT
East Fife 18%Draw 24%Hamilton Academical 58% Expected goals 0.84 – 1.71
82%
Betarazi pick

Hamilton Academical or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Hamilton Academical to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHamilton Academical to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceHamilton Academical or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.43

East Fife vs Hamilton Academical: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: East Fife v Hamilton Academical in the League One, played at MGM Timber Bayview Stadium. In the table, East Fife are 6th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Hamilton Academical are 2nd (among the top four) with 33. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

East Fife, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Peterhead, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Hamilton Academical, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Airdrie United, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Hamilton Academical, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for East Fife.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Feb 2026) it ended Hamilton Academical 1–0 East Fife.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give East Fife 0.8 xG, Hamilton Academical 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – East Fife 18%, draw 24%, Hamilton Academical 58%.
  • Lower-risk option: Hamilton Academical or draw (82%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Hamilton Academical to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hamilton Academical or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: East Fife 0–1 Hamilton Academical. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

East Fife18%fair 5.63 · @3.50
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.35
Hamilton Academical58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
2.55Expected goals
0.84East Fife xG
1.71Hamilton Academical xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%

From our goals model: East Fife 0.8 – 1.7 Hamilton Academical expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHamilton Academical to win ✗58%1.731.95 ▲
Double chanceHamilton Academical or draw ✓82%1.221.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.881.73
Draw no betHamilton Academical (draw no bet)77%1.31–
Asian handicapEast Fife +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreHamilton Academical to score first ✗62%1.61–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hamilton Academical / FT Hamilton Academical ✗36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.43–

Recent results

East Fife – last 6

LDWDDW
15 Aug@ Peterhead1–2L
11 Augvs Spartans2–2D
8 Augvs Cove Rangers2–0W
1 Aug@ Alloa Athletic0–0D
25 Jul@ ST Johnstone1–1D
21 Julvs Linlithgow Rose3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Hamilton Academical – last 6

WLWWWL
15 Augvs Airdrie United4–0W
12 Augvs Celtic II1–3L
8 Augvs Alloa Athletic1–0W
1 Aug@ Montrose5–0W
25 Julvs Elgin City5–0W
21 Jul@ Kilmarnock0–1L
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Feb 2026Hamilton Academical v East Fife1–0
East Fife vs Hamilton Academical head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ross County141220+4038
2Hamilton Academical141031+1733
3East Kilbride13634+521
4Montrose14626-420
5Airdrie United14446-916
6East Fife14365-415
7Peterhead14419-1313
8Queen of the South14419-2413
9Alloa Athletic14338-412
10Cove Rangers13337-412

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for East Fife vs Hamilton Academical?

Our pick is Hamilton Academical or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win East Fife vs Hamilton Academical?

On our numbers East Fife have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hamilton Academical 58%.

How many goals will there be in East Fife vs Hamilton Academical?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for East Fife vs Hamilton Academical?

Our predicted score is East Fife 0–1 Hamilton Academical, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is East Fife vs Hamilton Academical?

East Fife vs Hamilton Academical (League One) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at MGM Timber Bayview Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.