Queen of the South vs Alloa Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Queen of the South welcome Alloa Athletic to Palmerston Park for a League One fixture on Saturday 22 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Queen of the South are 8th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 14 matches; Alloa Athletic are 9th (in the drop zone) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Queen of the South, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Cumbernauld Colts, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Alloa Athletic, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Montrose, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Queen of the South 1.2 xG, Alloa Athletic 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Queen of the South 37%, draw 22%, Alloa Athletic 41%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Queen of the South 1–1 Alloa Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Queen of the South37%fair 2.68 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Alloa Athletic41%fair 2.44 · @2.45
2.47Expected goals
1.20Queen of the South xG
1.28Alloa Athletic xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Queen of the South 1.2 – 1.3 Alloa Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alloa Athletic to win✓
41%
2.44
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Draw no bet
Alloa Athletic (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Queen of the South +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Alloa Athletic to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alloa Athletic / FT Alloa Athletic✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.18
–
Recent results
Queen of the South – last 6
WLLLLW
11 Aug
vs Cumbernauld Colts
4–0
W
8 Aug
vs Peterhead
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ East Kilbride
1–5
L
25 Jul
@ Queen's Park
1–3
L
22 Jul
vs Aberdeen
1–4
L
18 Jul
@ Brora Rangers
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Alloa Athletic – last 6
WWLDLD
15 Aug
vs Montrose
3–0
W
11 Aug
vs Stranraer
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Hamilton Academical
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs East Fife
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Ayr Utd
1–4
L
21 Jul
vs Falkirk
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Queen of the South and Alloa Athletic.
What is the prediction for Queen of the South vs Alloa Athletic?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Queen of the South vs Alloa Athletic?
On our numbers Queen of the South have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alloa Athletic 41%.
How many goals will there be in Queen of the South vs Alloa Athletic?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Queen of the South vs Alloa Athletic?
Our predicted score is Queen of the South 1–1 Alloa Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Queen of the South vs Alloa Athletic?
Queen of the South vs Alloa Athletic (League One) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Palmerston Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
