Value bet: Alloa Athletic to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlloa Athletic to win ✗48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 15.52
Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cove Rangers welcome Alloa Athletic to Balmoral Stadium for a League One fixture on Saturday 5 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Cove Rangers are 10th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 13 matches; Alloa Athletic are 9th (in the drop zone) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cove Rangers, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hamilton Academical, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Alloa Athletic, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Peterhead, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Alloa Athletic, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Cove Rangers.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cove Rangers 0.7 xG, Alloa Athletic 1.0 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cove Rangers 29%, draw 23%, Alloa Athletic 48%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Alloa Athletic to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cove Rangers 1–1 Alloa Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cove Rangers29%fair 3.42 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Alloa Athletic48%fair 2.11 · @2.25
1.70Expected goals
0.69Cove Rangers xG
1.01Alloa Athletic xG
54%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–119%
0–018%
1–113%
1–013%
0–29%
1–26%
From our goals model: Cove Rangers 0.7 – 1.0 Alloa Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alloa Athletic to win✗
48%
2.11
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.67
Draw no bet
Alloa Athletic (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Cove Rangers +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Alloa Athletic to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
6%
15.52
–
Recent results
Cove Rangers – last 6
LWWLLL
29 Aug
@ Hamilton Academical
0–1
L
25 Aug
vs Dundee United II
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Peterhead
3–0
W
15 Aug
@ East Kilbride
0–3
L
11 Aug
@ Stirling Albion
2–4
L
8 Aug
@ East Fife
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alloa Athletic – last 6
DWWWWL
29 Aug
vs Peterhead
1–1
D
25 Aug
vs Motherwell U21
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Queen of the South
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Montrose
3–0
W
11 Aug
vs Stranraer
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Hamilton Academical
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cove Rangers and Alloa Athletic.
What is the prediction for Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic?
On our numbers Cove Rangers have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alloa Athletic 48%.
How many goals will there be in Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic?
Our predicted score is Cove Rangers 1–1 Alloa Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic?
Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic (League One) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Balmoral Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
