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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

East Kilbride v Hamilton Academical: numbers & prediction

League One · Scotland · K-Park Training Academy
East Kilbride 36%Draw 22%Hamilton Academical 41% Expected goals 1.39 – 1.51
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2

Value bet: Hamilton Academical to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultHamilton Academical to win ✓41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.47

East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

East Kilbride welcome Hamilton Academical to K-Park Training Academy for a League One fixture on Saturday 5 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, East Kilbride are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 13 matches; Hamilton Academical are 2nd (among the top four) with 33. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

East Kilbride, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Ross County, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Hamilton Academical, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cove Rangers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give East Kilbride 1.4 xG, Hamilton Academical 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – East Kilbride 36%, draw 22%, Hamilton Academical 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Hamilton Academical to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: East Kilbride 1–1 Hamilton Academical. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

East Kilbride36%fair 2.77 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.30
Hamilton Academical41%fair 2.41 · @2.75
2.90Expected goals
1.39East Kilbride xG
1.51Hamilton Academical xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: East Kilbride 1.4 – 1.5 Hamilton Academical expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHamilton Academical to win ✓41%2.412.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.57
Draw no betHamilton Academical (draw no bet) ✓53%1.87–
Asian handicapEast Kilbride +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreHamilton Academical to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hamilton Academical / FT Hamilton Academical ✓24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.47–

Recent results

East Kilbride – last 6

LWLWWD
29 Aug@ Ross County0–4L
25 Aug@ Cowdenbeath3–1W
22 Aug@ Montrose0–3L
15 Augvs Cove Rangers3–0W
11 Augvs Kilmarnock II5–3W
8 Aug@ Airdrie United1–1D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Hamilton Academical – last 6

WLDWLW
29 Augvs Cove Rangers1–0W
25 Augvs Edinburgh City0–1L
22 Aug@ East Fife0–0D
15 Augvs Airdrie United4–0W
12 Augvs Celtic II1–3L
8 Augvs Alloa Athletic1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between East Kilbride and Hamilton Academical.

East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ross County141220+4038
2Hamilton Academical141031+1733
3East Kilbride13634+521
4Montrose14626-420
5Airdrie United14446-916
6East Fife14365-415
7Peterhead14419-1313
8Queen of the South14419-2413
9Alloa Athletic14338-412
10Cove Rangers13337-412

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical?

On our numbers East Kilbride have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hamilton Academical 41%.

How many goals will there be in East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical?

Our predicted score is East Kilbride 1–1 Hamilton Academical, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical?

East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical (League One) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at K-Park Training Academy.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.