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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Everton v Crystal Palace: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Hill Dickinson Stadium

Everton

DWLWL
2–0
FT
Everton 50%Draw 22%Crystal Palace 27% Expected goals 1.58 – 1.07
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: Everton to win @ 2.14 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultEverton to win ✓50% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60

Everton vs Crystal Palace: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Crystal Palace travel to face Everton on Saturday 22 August in the Premier League, with Hill Dickinson Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Everton are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Crystal Palace are 20th (in the drop zone) with 7.

Current form

Everton, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lille, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Crystal Palace, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to SC Freiburg, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Crystal Palace, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Everton.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Crystal Palace 2–2 Everton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Everton 1.6 xG, Crystal Palace 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Everton 50%, draw 22%, Crystal Palace 27%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Everton to win @2.14 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Everton 1–1 Crystal Palace. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Everton50%fair 1.98 · @2.14
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.35
Crystal Palace27%fair 3.70 · @3.30
2.65Expected goals
1.58Everton xG
1.07Crystal Palace xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Everton 1.6 – 1.1 Crystal Palace expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEverton to win ✓50%1.982.14 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.70
Draw no betEverton (draw no bet) ✓65%1.54–
Asian handicapCrystal Palace +1 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.971.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
First team to scoreEverton to score first ✓55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Everton / FT Everton ✓30%3.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.60–

Recent results

Everton – last 6

DWLWLD
15 Augvs Lille1–1D
12 Aug@ Newcastle3–1W
8 Aug@ VfB Stuttgart1–3L
1 Aug@ Hamburger SV2–1W
28 Jul@ Stoke City0–1L
25 Jul@ Bolton0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Crystal Palace – last 6

LWWLWW
15 Aug@ SC Freiburg0–3L
7 Aug@ Fulham2–1W
31 Julvs Al Ula3–1W
25 Jul@ Bromley0–3L
18 Julvs Swindon Town5–1W
27 Mayvs Rayo Vallecano1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Crystal Palace v Everton2–2
Everton vs Crystal Palace head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Everton vs Crystal Palace?

On our numbers Everton have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Crystal Palace 27%.

How many goals will there be in Everton vs Crystal Palace?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Our predicted score is Everton 1–1 Crystal Palace, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Everton vs Crystal Palace (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Hill Dickinson Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.