Value bet: Leeds to win @ 3.05 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNottingham Forest to win ✗40% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Nottingham Forest v Leeds in the Premier League, played at City Ground. In the table, Nottingham Forest are 16th, lower half, on 9 points after 10 matches; Leeds are 9th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
Nottingham Forest, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Stade Brestois 29, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Leeds, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over FC Augsburg, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Leeds, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Nottingham Forest.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nottingham Forest 1.3 xG, Leeds 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nottingham Forest 40%, draw 23%, Leeds 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Leeds to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nottingham Forest 1–1 Leeds. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nottingham Forest40%fair 2.51 · @2.28
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.30
Leeds37%fair 2.67 · @3.05
2.64Expected goals
1.35Nottingham Forest xG
1.29Leeds xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nottingham Forest 1.3 – 1.3 Leeds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nottingham Forest to win✗
40%
2.51
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.70
Draw no bet
Nottingham Forest (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Leeds +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Nottingham Forest to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nottingham Forest / FT Nottingham Forest✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.95
–
Recent results
Nottingham Forest – last 6
WWLLLW
16 Aug
vs Stade Brestois 29
2–0
W
12 Aug
vs Bayer Leverkusen
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Barcelona
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Udinese
0–1
L
31 Jul
@ Sporting CP
1–4
L
31 Jul
@ Portimonense
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Leeds – last 6
WDWWWL
15 Aug
vs FC Augsburg
4–0
W
12 Aug
vs Manchester United
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs RB Leipzig
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Liverpool
4–2
W
31 Jul
@ Sunderland
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Wrexham
2–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nottingham Forest and Leeds.
What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?
On our numbers Nottingham Forest have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leeds 37%.
How many goals will there be in Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?
Our predicted score is Nottingham Forest 1–1 Leeds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at City Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
