Value bet: Brentford to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBrentford to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.36
Leeds vs Brentford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leeds welcome Brentford to Elland Road for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 30 August (14:00 WAT). In the table, Leeds are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Brentford are 8th (upper half) with 14. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Leeds, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Nottingham Forest, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Brentford, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Birmingham, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.8 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leeds 1.0 xG, Brentford 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leeds 37%, draw 23%, Brentford 40%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Brentford to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leeds 1–1 Brentford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leeds37%fair 2.70 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.25
Brentford40%fair 2.49 · @2.70
2.00Expected goals
0.97Leeds xG
1.03Brentford xG
56%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Leeds 1.0 – 1.0 Brentford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brentford to win✗
40%
2.49
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Draw no bet
Brentford (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Leeds +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Brentford to score first✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.36
–
Recent results
Leeds – last 6
WWWDWW
25 Aug
@ Nottingham Forest
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Nottingham Forest
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs FC Augsburg
4–0
W
12 Aug
vs Manchester United
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs RB Leipzig
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Liverpool
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Brentford – last 6
WWWWDD
25 Aug
@ Birmingham
6–1
W
22 Aug
vs Tottenham
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
7–0
W
8 Aug
@ Rennes
4–2
W
24 May
@ Liverpool
1–1
D
17 May
vs Crystal Palace
2–2
D
3.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leeds and Brentford.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Leeds vs Brentford?
On our numbers Leeds have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Brentford 40%.
How many goals will there be in Leeds vs Brentford?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Brentford?
Our predicted score is Leeds 1–1 Brentford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Leeds vs Brentford?
Leeds vs Brentford (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Elland Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
