Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Fulham to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFulham to win ✗41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.17
Sunderland vs Fulham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the Premier League brings Sunderland against Fulham at Stadium of Light. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Sunderland are 19th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Fulham are 15th (lower half) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sunderland, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ipswich, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Fulham, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over AFC Wimbledon, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Sunderland 1–3 Fulham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sunderland 1.9 xG, Fulham 2.1 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sunderland 36%, draw 23%, Fulham 41%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Fulham to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sunderland 1–2 Fulham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sunderland36%fair 2.81 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.20
Fulham41%fair 2.42 · @2.90
4.00Expected goals
1.92Sunderland xG
2.08Fulham xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Sunderland 1.9 – 2.1 Fulham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sunderland vs Fulham?
On our numbers Sunderland have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fulham 41%.
How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Fulham?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Fulham?
Our predicted score is Sunderland 1–2 Fulham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Sunderland vs Fulham?
Sunderland vs Fulham (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium of Light.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
