Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultNewcastle to win ✗46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.96
Newcastle vs Bournemouth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bournemouth travel to face Newcastle on Saturday 5 September in the Premier League, with St. James' Park the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Newcastle are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Bournemouth are 7th (upper half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Newcastle, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tottenham, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Bournemouth, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Everton, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle 1.5 xG, Bournemouth 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle 46%, draw 21%, Bournemouth 32%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle 1–1 Bournemouth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newcastle46%fair 2.16 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.50
Bournemouth32%fair 3.09 · @3.20
2.75Expected goals
1.53Newcastle xG
1.22Bournemouth xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Newcastle 1.5 – 1.2 Bournemouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle to win✗
46%
2.16
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Draw no bet
Newcastle (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Bournemouth +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Newcastle to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle / FT Newcastle✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.96
–
Recent results
Newcastle – last 6
WWDDLL
29 Aug
@ Tottenham
2–0
W
26 Aug
vs West Brom
3–2
W
23 Aug
vs Liverpool
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs Strasbourg
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Bayer Leverkusen
1–2
L
12 Aug
vs Everton
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bournemouth – last 6
DLLDWW
29 Aug
vs Everton
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Manchester City
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ FSV Mainz 05
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Real Betis
2–2
D
4 Aug
vs Genoa
10–1
W
30 Jul
@ FC Augsburg
5–2
W
3.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle and Bournemouth.
What is the prediction for Newcastle vs Bournemouth?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Newcastle vs Bournemouth?
On our numbers Newcastle have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bournemouth 32%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle vs Bournemouth?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Bournemouth?
Our predicted score is Newcastle 1–1 Bournemouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Newcastle vs Bournemouth?
Newcastle vs Bournemouth (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at St. James' Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
