Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Brighton to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBrighton to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Coventry vs Brighton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Coventry v Brighton in the Premier League, played at Coventry Building Society Arena. In the table, Coventry are 17th, lower half, on 9 points after 10 matches; Brighton are 2nd (among the top four) with 22. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Coventry, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Manchester City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Brighton, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Leeds, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Coventry 1.1 xG, Brighton 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Coventry 22%, draw 20%, Brighton 58%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Brighton to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coventry 1–1 Brighton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Coventry22%fair 4.46 · @3.80
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.50
Brighton58%fair 1.74 · @1.85
3.00Expected goals
1.09Coventry xG
1.91Brighton xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Coventry 1.1 – 1.9 Brighton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brighton to win✓
58%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.70
Draw no bet
Brighton (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Coventry +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Brighton to score first✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Brighton ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brighton / FT Brighton✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Coventry – last 6
LLWLWW
5 Sep
@ Manchester City
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Hull City
0–1
L
25 Aug
@ Plymouth
4–2
W
21 Aug
@ Arsenal
0–3
L
14 Aug
vs Monaco
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Espanyol
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Brighton – last 6
DLWWDW
5 Sep
vs Leeds
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Chelsea
3–4
L
27 Aug
vs Tromso
4–0
W
23 Aug
vs Aston Villa
4–0
W
20 Aug
@ Tromso
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Bologna
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coventry and Brighton.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Coventry vs Brighton?
On our numbers Coventry have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Brighton 58%.
How many goals will there be in Coventry vs Brighton?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coventry vs Brighton?
Our predicted score is Coventry 1–1 Brighton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Coventry vs Brighton?
Coventry vs Brighton (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Coventry Building Society Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
