Manchester United vs Manchester City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Manchester United welcome Manchester City to Old Trafford for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 13 September (16:30 WAT). In the table, Manchester United are 18th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Manchester City are 3rd (among the top four) with 21. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Manchester United, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Sabah FA, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Manchester City, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Porto, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Manchester City, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Manchester United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manchester United 1.7 xG, Manchester City 2.0 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manchester United 33%, draw 20%, Manchester City 47%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manchester United 1–2 Manchester City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manchester United33%fair 3.06 · @3.10
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.70
Manchester City47%fair 2.12 · @2.05
3.67Expected goals
1.65Manchester United xG
2.02Manchester City xG
69%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Manchester United 1.7 – 2.0 Manchester City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester City to win✓
47%
2.12
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.44
Draw no bet
Manchester City (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Manchester United +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
First team to score
Manchester City to score first✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Manchester City ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester City / FT Manchester City✗
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Manchester United – last 6
WDWLLD
10 Sep
vs Sabah FA
4–0
W
6 Sep
@ Everton
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Ipswich
5–2
W
22 Aug
@ Hull City
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs AC Milan
2–4
L
12 Aug
@ Leeds
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Manchester City – last 6
WWWWLW
8 Sep
@ FC Porto
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Coventry
1–0
W
28 Aug
@ Crystal Palace
4–1
W
23 Aug
vs Bournemouth
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Arsenal
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs Atletico Madrid
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester United and Manchester City.
What is the prediction for Manchester United vs Manchester City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Manchester United vs Manchester City?
On our numbers Manchester United have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Manchester City 47%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester United vs Manchester City?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Manchester City?
Our predicted score is Manchester United 1–2 Manchester City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Manchester United vs Manchester City?
Manchester United vs Manchester City (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Old Trafford.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
