Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultLiverpool to win ✓49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Bournemouth vs Liverpool: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Liverpool travel to face Bournemouth on Sunday 20 September in the Premier League, with Vitality Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Bournemouth are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Liverpool are 4th (among the top four) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bournemouth, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Real Sociedad, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Liverpool, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Tottenham, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Liverpool, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Bournemouth.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bournemouth 1.2 xG, Liverpool 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bournemouth 30%, draw 21%, Liverpool 49%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bournemouth 1–1 Liverpool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bournemouth30%fair 3.29 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.60
Liverpool49%fair 2.06 · @2.15
2.88Expected goals
1.24Bournemouth xG
1.64Liverpool xG
65%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Bournemouth 1.2 – 1.6 Liverpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool to win✓
49%
2.06
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.40
Draw no bet
Liverpool (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Bournemouth +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Liverpool to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool / FT Liverpool✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.67
–
Recent results
Bournemouth – last 6
WDWDDL
17 Sep
@ Real Sociedad
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Brentford
2–2
D
8 Sep
vs Lincoln
4–0
W
5 Sep
@ Newcastle
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Everton
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Manchester City
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Liverpool – last 6
WDWWDD
15 Sep
vs Tottenham
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Fulham
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs Atletico Madrid
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Ipswich
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs Nottingham Forest
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Newcastle
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bournemouth and Liverpool.
What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
On our numbers Bournemouth have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Liverpool 49%.
How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
Our predicted score is Bournemouth 1–1 Liverpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
Bournemouth vs Liverpool (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
